The term structure for zero coupon bonds is currently:

Maturity (Years)

YTM

1

4%

2

5

3

6

Next year at this time, you expect it to be:

Maturity (Years)

YTM

1

5%

2

6

3

7

a. What do you expect the rate of return to be over the coming year on a 3 year zero coupon bond?

b. Under the expectations theory, what yields to maturity does the market expect to observe on 1 and 2 year zeros next year? Is the market’s expectation of the return on the 3 year bond greater or less than yours?