A cash flow of $200,000 may be received by Lydia Nickels, Inc. in one year, two years, or three years, with probabilities of 20%, 50%, and 30%, respectively. The rate of interest on default risk-free investments is 5%. The present value factors are

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PV of 1, at 5%, for 1 year is

.95238

PV of 1, at 5%, for 2 years is

.90703

PV of 1, at 5%, for 3 years is

.86384

What is the expected present value of Lydia Nickels’ cash flow (in whole dollars)?

  1. $181,406
  2. $180,628
  3. $ 90,703
  4. $ 89,925