The Boston Company must choose between one of two machines —machine A has low fixed costs and high unit variable costs whereas machine B has high fixed costs and low unit variable costs. Consequently, machine A is most suited to low-level demand whereas machine B
is suited to high-level demand. For simplicity assume that there are only two possible
demand levels — low and high — and the estimated probability of each of these events
is 0.5. The estimated profits for each demand level are as follows:
|
Low demand |
High demand |
Expected value |
|
|
(£) |
(£) |
(£) |
|
|
Machine A |
100000 |
160 |
000 |
|
Machine B |
10000 |
200000 |
105000 |
There is a possibility of employing a firm of market consultants who would be able to provide a perfect prediction of the actual demand. What is the maximum amount the company should be prepared to pay the consultants for the additional information?